MAIN RISKS IN 2020
In an environment where the recovery remains very uncertain and will depend on the evolution of the pandemic and the ability of authorities to control it, the pace at which support plans are discontinued and the time it takes to return to normal economic conditions will be key in 2021. Furthermore, the debt burden of certain players, already high at the start of the crisis, has become even heavier over the past 12 months. Credit risk and changes in the quality of the portfolio therefore constitute one of the major risks of 2021. The main sectors to watch are those affected by the crisis: tourism, automotive, aeronautics, distribution and retail, shipping and commercial real estate. Lastly, special attention will be paid to cyber risk, further exacerbated by the development of remote operations and remote work.